One big interesting thing we've all learned during this pandemic, is that when the citizens aren't given a national game plan, the states will make up their own. And if the citizens don't agree with the state's plan, they'll do their own thing. In some cases, that involves "Karens and Kens" running around yelling in Costcos about it being their God given right as human beings to not have to wear a mask. But it also means that in those states that opened up way too early, a lot of those citizens, make their own plans. In some ways, we're all our own little kingdoms. Setting and following our own rules based on our risk tolerance.
And so, when Disney opened up, at just 30% capacity, lots of people still stayed home. They ended up having to scale back their opening agenda because demand just wasn't there. Movie theaters in a lot of country opened up....but most people stayed home. New York City's office buildings are open....but there aren't any people in them. And so if the leaders in our federal government broke into our regularly scheduled programming, to declare that we all just pretend it's 2019 and get back out there. Most of us would...just stay home.
It'll be six months to a year after the announcement of any vaccine's imminent release before we get back to normal. And even then....there are soooo many questions regarding the logistics of the rollout of vaccines. Based on how "great" we've done so far In handling this catastrophe in this country. From the lack of PPE, to the horrendous testing debacle, to the lack of any coherent contact tracing....does anyone....anyone think things will go smoothly? I mean, the first two candidates out there from Moderna and Pfizer need to be stored in a deep freeze, at minus 80 degrees celsius (negative 112 F). If the vaccine thaws and refreezes in storage or transport....it's no good. The government has hired a company to help with "logistics", but the main companies in charge of transporting these vaccines all over the place....are FedEx and UPS. Anyone think that'll go well? On a mass scale? Those deep freezers are very expensive. I'm not sure how they're going to roll it out, but I think it's highly unlikely that you'll roll up to your local CVS for that type of vaccine.
I heard the J&J vaccine that just announced that it's entering phase 3....just needs basic refrigeration and one injection, versus two injections for the other two. So, hopefully that one will go well. However, since literally nothing has gone well during this catastrophe, I wouldn't count on it.