Thanks all for your feedback. I think we are going to go, and just brave the crowds. We have been there on New Years day and the days that followed it this year, and it was crowded but manageable with patience and Max Pass!! We got a great rate at the GCH (half the price of the same room that we had at GCH over Halloween season last month!) with the AP discount that just rolled out. We have just upgraded our October park tickets to the Flex Pass, so this will be the first time trying it out. Reservations are required for Sat/Sun/Monday (but surprisingly NOT Friday when ROTR opens!), so I will have to book Sat/Sun (IF I can at 30 days out when the reservations open) and then hope we can get into at least one park Monday with a reservation on that Saturday (we will be leaving Monday, so it will only be a few park hours, so I would be ok if we can only get a reservation at one park that day; I will be disappointed if we can’t get in at all...). Flights will be the issue, as I am hesitant to book flights until I know we have FP reservations, but that will only be 30 days out. UGH. I love the price of the FP but this is the “cost” of the FP: uncertainty!
Interestingly when I called to have the new AP discount ”applied” to my GCH reservation earlier this week, I was asking about ROTR and if they would do fast pass for it. She was very vague and said we have to wait and see how it goes at WDW first, you never know, check back etc. Probably just the CM being vague without any actual information, but I would be so happy if they would make both rides in SWGE available with fast pass.