SPJoeG
Earning My Ears
- Joined
- Aug 9, 2012
I hope this is the right forum. I love the shows, have used dreams unlimited, and just made my first magic candle company purchase, literally right before I posted this. I'm a father of 2 and we live in the northeast and I have a west coast vacation that includes Disneyland booked for early July. Just a bit of background before I offer a different perspective on the parks and resorts opening.
My view is that unlike Shanghai where the government is a partner, in the US federal and local governments will set a baseline, but Disney will make decisions unilaterally. I don't think the parks will open until there is much greater testing and contact tracing or some other change in circumstance such as significantly diminished transmission in the summer or an effective treatment or vaccine. I think Disney is preparing for the best, but expecting the worst, by taking reservations and booking fast passes in June.
Diminished capacity means diminished revenue, and the precautions necessary require additional operational costs (e.g. more cleaning supplies, more staff to clean, masks and gloves for staff, etc...). I see opening in June offering little reward to Disney while coming at great risk to the brand. While my kids have been to WDW this would be their first trip to Disneyland and I would bet like me Disney is considering whether a magical experience is possible with such tight restrictions. More importantly by opening to early there is great risk of "super spreader" events.
I haven't cancelled my trip but it's hard for me to see how any US parks can open while testing capacity is so low, and when we do ramp up to the capacity of China, it will still take a few weeks to actually perform the required testing and contact tracing. I know my view is more pessimistic than Pete's, but please don't take it as entirely negative - I think the parks will reopen and I for one will appreciate them even more, but it will require a lot more testing.
My view is that unlike Shanghai where the government is a partner, in the US federal and local governments will set a baseline, but Disney will make decisions unilaterally. I don't think the parks will open until there is much greater testing and contact tracing or some other change in circumstance such as significantly diminished transmission in the summer or an effective treatment or vaccine. I think Disney is preparing for the best, but expecting the worst, by taking reservations and booking fast passes in June.
Diminished capacity means diminished revenue, and the precautions necessary require additional operational costs (e.g. more cleaning supplies, more staff to clean, masks and gloves for staff, etc...). I see opening in June offering little reward to Disney while coming at great risk to the brand. While my kids have been to WDW this would be their first trip to Disneyland and I would bet like me Disney is considering whether a magical experience is possible with such tight restrictions. More importantly by opening to early there is great risk of "super spreader" events.
I haven't cancelled my trip but it's hard for me to see how any US parks can open while testing capacity is so low, and when we do ramp up to the capacity of China, it will still take a few weeks to actually perform the required testing and contact tracing. I know my view is more pessimistic than Pete's, but please don't take it as entirely negative - I think the parks will reopen and I for one will appreciate them even more, but it will require a lot more testing.