To me it is the budgets that are out of control....
Elemental allegedly cost $200 million to make.
So far, it has made $311 million + worldwide.
There will be some marketing costs thrown in there. A $300+ million box office film should not be a flop. It's the cost structure that is out of control.
People are complaining about Little Mermaid. The budget there was allegedly $250 million to make. So far that movie has made $547 million. I would hope that doubling your production budget would allow your movie to make some money for the studio, yet people are calling the film a box office disappointment.
Both of these movies will likely have licensing opportunities. They'll sell CDs or albums that will be streamed. There are some toys and shirts and other things that should add to the bottom line.
Ant Man Quantummania also had 200 million budget, has made 476 million at the box office. Most of Disney's failures have made tons of money, the cost structure is the problem.
The one that will likely be a flop is Indiana Jones....
Indiana Jones looks like it is heading in the direction of being a huge money loser for Lucasfilm/Disney. Budget may have been around $400 million, and so far it has only made about $300 million. To me going back to my earlier statements.... $300 million should be enough money to make a profitable movie.... but Disney's costs (and most other studios) are way out of control. Harry Potter, when it came out in 2001, and was known that it was to be one of the most successful films ever made cost $125 million in budget or about $215 million in today's dollars. Why anyone thought that Indiana Jones in 2023 would need to cost nearly double that amount and could be profitable is beyond me.... Hollywood spending is totally out of control.
Gotta pay them enough so they can feed their families!