It does depends on #1, the price you get your Disney resort at and #2, what resort you are staying in
We land at 1 AM in December. We are doing a lot of resort hopping, so we can walk to parks vs. dealing with buses at New Years but first we are at Pop. Originally we were flying in Friday evening but when they announced the new stuff at HS we moved it up to late Thursday, so we can hit HS on Friday night. Adding on a 2nd night at Pop was $200. We couldn't get Hyatt at MCO for less than $200, even though it would have been night to stay there. We'll suck it up and plan to sleep in late on Friday, since we really just want to do HS at night anyway.
With the current AP rates at some of the Deluxe resorts in Jan, you can get them for under $300 so the Hyatt can quickly reach their rate. But, it's rate does fluctuate too. We got really lucky one time and found it less than $200. We were flying out early after our flight at night got cancelled. Instead of staying another night at Disney and having to leave there early in the morning we were able to stay at MCO and just walk downstairs.