Cases are supposed to rise with more testing. But test positive rate should not rise. Florida’s test positive rate keeps moving up.
Exactly. Scientific data is helpful in understanding pandemics.
If Florida had their outbreak under control, increased testing would show a drop in positivity rate. They are testing more than they ever have, and finding more cases. Therefore, they have an outbreak that is in no way contained. In fact, it's just the opposite of that. They have a population of 20,271,000 and are doing 60,000 tests a day and have a rising positivity rate...currently running right around 20%. The governor of Florida said that cases are going up, in part because they're testing as much as any other state in the U.S.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/florida
Unfortunately, that's not true either...that's a lie. Another state, New York State, with a population that is slightly smaller than Florida, at 19,450,000 is testing more than the state of Florida. They are routinely testing in the 60-80K a day range since Memorial Day.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states/new-york. So if you look at that chart, you'll see that their 7 day moving average positivity rate around Memorial Day in New York State was around 4.0%. They continued testing at a higher rate than Florida, and have seen their positivity rate fall all the way down to 1%.
That's how you flatten, and then crush the curve. This is what they did in most of Europe. This is what we did in the Northeast. That's not what is happening across the sun belt. Florida in particular, with the exception of a few cities, isn't even trying to mitigate this outbreak. And so, common sense tells us that the situation in Florida is going to get worse.