Oh, don't get me wrong, I totally agree with you about there being another spike afterwards. In fact, I think we need to prepare ourselves for cases to continue for the next 12-18 months. But the subsequent spikes in most countries will not be as severe as the first one, and critical care will be more able to cope. Some countries, like China and South Korea, have not had a very big initial outbreak, so they are more vulnerable, and relaxation of measures in those places is unlikely to be as quick as other countries. But the economic consequences of continuing the lockdown for too long, and the knock on effect that will have on the health of a nation, could be worse than the virus itself. There is a tipping point that will be reached, and 1st June looks like a reasonable date to aim for in most regions.