Numbers and data mean absolutely nothing on their own. It is the analysis that counts. [. . .] Cherry picking New York's high total case and death counts which includes figures from months ago is not even remotely a clear indicator of what is happening now.
Yes, while the total population of NY state is 19.1 million people. Approximately only 3% of the cases and deaths happened in upstate NY.
Meanwhile 97% of the cases and deaths happened in the 8.5 million people in NYC due to the
density of the population. People living and working on top of each other, breathing in the same reconditioned, ventilated air indoors. And traveling via mass transit that placed them in tightly confined spaces, where there is little to no social distancing. It caused people to inhale high infectious doses from being that densely packed, moving about with no masks for the first 49 days.
Since the whole state was given the same info and state-wide mandates, if the density of environment wasn't such a strong factor, the rest of the state would have had the same percentage in numbers of cases and deaths. The only times the state split and did something different is when we reopened in different Phases.
But... the other very important thing to consider is the majority of NY cases happened months ago and most of the deaths related have happened already. The majority of FL cases are happening right now and the related deaths have yet to play out.
One also has to factor in how little medical info about COVID-19 we had back in March & April. Our knowledge, or rather our lack of knowledge determined how we acted, and thus many still got inadvertently exposed. What we are doing has changed so much since.
Back then, we didn't know:
• How far we had to socially distance: Originally, the virus was thought to only be transmitted through coughing & sneezing and we only had to stay about 3 ft away from each other. And stay out of the way of people's coughs and sneezes. That the COVID particles are big and dropped down very quickly. Jimmy Kimmel, on his talk show, even came up with a new greeting called the "El-Bump" where one only had to turn their faces away from each other and bump elbows. It was a couple weeks before we knew to stay 6 ft apart.
• COVID-19 is aerosolized/airborne: We were originally told that it was not airborne. Now we know small particles linger in the air for 3 hours or more and can travel, especially indoors via air conditioning or ventilation. Masks are extremely crucial to stop the aerosolized/airborne spread. It was 49 days from the first confirmed case in NY to the mandate to wear masks. During those 49 days, the cases and subsequent deaths climbed and reached their apex. The numbers went down dramatically after that.
• There are people who are asymptomatic: They present NO symptoms, yet are highly contagious. Doing temperature checks on them is useless.
• Viral load, also known as infectious dose: The amount of an infectious dose one is exposed to can determine how sick one becomes.
• NYC didn't have some of the medical techniques that now have saved many COVID patients from death. It was thought that the worst cases had to be put immediately on ventilators. Now, there is the technique of proning - turning a person onto their stomachs, which takes pressure off their lungs. They can then breathe by being given oxygen, instead of being put on a ventilator. Using the drug Remdesivir which may cut the duration of severe cases down by 60%. And probably other techniques not mentioned.