He had people lined up to work the week I had to reschedule for. And we are bringing his mother in to live with us who has dementia and he has to prepare for her arrival which would be the day after the trip.
New 11pm NHC track
Highlights from the forecast discussion
LINK: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/100258.shtml?
- Hurricane Hunters & Air Force reconnaissance observed winds at 110mph to 120mph
- The track has shifted ever so slightly more to the west
- The interaction with Cuba has affected the storms structure and intensity
- The NHC wants to get the full Air Force data set before lowering the intensity any further so it stands at 120mph (Category 3)
- If Irma goes through an eye wall replacement cycle in the next 6-12 hours there is potential for strengthening
- In about 24 hours Irma will encounter wind sheer that is forecast to increase from 24-48 hours
- This along with interaction with the west coast of Florida should have a weakening affect
An observation of mine, nearly every forecast discussion has ended with "Irma is still expected to be a strong Category 4/5 storm when it makes landfall". However, the 5pm and 11pm forecast discussions today have altered this language to:
Irma is still expected to approach the Florida Keys and Florida west coast as a major hurricane, and combined with its large size, will produce significant storm surge flooding in those areas.
It appears they are cautiously optimistic that the intensity forecast is not as ominous as was thought originally.
She'll only be a depression by the time she reaches us, though, not a hurricane, so nowhere near the impact facing Florida. Curious to see how the gulf affects her. Much love and pixie dust to everyone possibly affected at all in this!
Jesus you got a lot going on. I know it's not the sane but find a quick getaway near home. Where go you live?? A nice hotel with pool will be fun for the kids
2004 Charlie went from a CAT2 to CAT4 almost 5 in 3 hours. The entire time the forecast was to make landfall in Tampa, we had a 45min warning it was headed into Charlotte Harbor. I will never forget and never underestimate the power of Mother Nature.
Yes, things can change in an instant. It's better to be prepared.
Not the poster who made the comment you're referencing but 100% able to answer this question because my hubby is also self-employed. NO he can't simply take another vacation ... he will have arranged his schedule and clients (not sure what the business is but in our case it involves MANY other companies) to accommodate the current planned holiday time. The biggest problem with your suggestion though is that if a self-employed person isn't working they are making no money, we have no vacation pay to draw on. He will already be dealing with the lack of pay from this time and will not be able to afford to simply take another week off. Don't mean to come across as rude, just explaining how it would go down in this household. We actually had plans for 2 weeks off this summer but circumstances led to us cancelling our trip and sticking close to home. We lost the 2 weeks of pay AND the 2 weeks of holidays, adulting is hard!
I agree. I'll be heading down on the 16th if all is ok down there. Why would people want you to stay away when Florida is a tourist state? If it's so bad you wouldn't want to be there, if it's ok then you want to support the economy.
I was told that by the first cast member that answers the phone. They work at a call center and have no authority to make those kinds of changes. You have to ask to be transferred to guest services, which comes with the exceeding long wait. Once I got through to them, the CM was willing to make the changes and it went very easy for me. I was even able to stay at Pop Century, even though I was told there was no availability by the first set of CMs. I only moved my dates up a few days, but I've read on these boards that others were able to move theirs weeks or even months later. Hope this helps!
